πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia 2.0

What could Australia look like if rebuilt on ordered liberty under law? This blueprint compares the status quo with a proposed system where government is limited, the person is prior to the state, and policy remembers the civilisational habits that made freedom durable - constitutional liberty, equal dignity under one law, and the ordered virtues without which rights collapse into slogans.

Reform Roadmap

Start here

People - who we are and how the population is changing
πŸ‘₯ Population
β“˜ Total resident people in Australia, including long-term visitors. ABS ERP quarterly (2025-Q3); rounded.
~27.7M
πŸ‘Ά Fertility
β“˜ Average babies per woman over her lifetime at current age-specific rates. ABS Births, Australia 2024 (TFR 1.481) - below replacement (~2.1).
~1.48
Concern
Replacement ~2.1 β“˜ The rate at which a population replaces itself without migration. AU has been below replacement since ~1976.
✈️ Overseas migration
β“˜ Net migration: long-term arrivals minus long-term departures over a year. ABS overseas migration, calendar year 2024; rounded.
~330k
Watch
🌏 Born overseas
β“˜ Share of Australian residents born in another country. ABS ERP by country of birth, Jun 2024; overseas-born share.
~32%
Canada / NZ / USA ~23 / 28 / 14% β“˜ Overseas-born share of population in peer settler societies. AU has the highest foreign-born share among large OECD countries.
Economy - output, debt, tax, and what it costs to live here
πŸ’° GDP per capita
β“˜ Total economic output divided by population - a rough per-person average income measure. ABS National Accounts; nominal, current prices, quarterly Γ—4 (2025-Q4).
~A$109k
Strength
πŸ“Š Govt gross debt
β“˜ Total Commonwealth and state government borrowings as a share of the economy. IMF WEO general government gross debt (2026); rounded to 5-pt band.
~50-55% GDP
Watch
Advanced-economy avg ~110% GDP β“˜ IMF WEO average general government gross debt for advanced economies (~2026). AU well below the peer average; concern is trajectory, not level.
🏠 House price-to-income
β“˜ How many years of median household income it takes to buy a median home - a common housing affordability gauge. CoreLogic; national median dwelling price Γ· median household income.
~8-9Γ—
Concern
1990s AU norm ~4Γ— β“˜ Roughly the long-run AU ratio through the early 1990s. Ratios above ~6Γ— are categorised 'severely unaffordable' by Demographia; most major AU capitals now sit above 8Γ—.
State capacity - what the government can afford to do
πŸ›οΈ Tax-to-GDP
β“˜ Total tax take (federal, state, and local combined) as a share of the economy. ABS Taxation Revenue; all levels of government, year definition varies.
~28-30%
OECD avg ~34% GDP β“˜ OECD average total-tax-to-GDP (Revenue Statistics). AU has a below-average tax burden by OECD standards but above Anglo-sphere peers like the US (~27%).
πŸ›‘οΈ Defence spending
β“˜ Federal defence budget as a share of GDP. Defence Portfolio Budget Statements 2024-25; rising toward 2.4% by 2033-34.
~2.1% GDP
Watch
NATO target 2% GDP β“˜ The NATO member-state commitment floor. US spends ~3.4% GDP; Poland ~4%; most of Europe has been below the floor until recently.
πŸ§‘β€πŸ¦½ NDIS spending
β“˜ Federal spending on the National Disability Insurance Scheme. 2024-25 estimate ~$48-52B, ~1.8% of GDP - already larger than the defence budget and on track to double by the mid-2030s without reform.
~$52B
Concern
2034-35 projection ~$97B β“˜ NDIA Annual Financial Sustainability Report projection. Scheme growth is the fastest-growing line item in the Commonwealth budget.
🏦 State revenue from Canberra
β“˜ Share of state and territory revenue that comes from Commonwealth grants (GST plus tied grants), rather than taxes states raise themselves. A measure of vertical fiscal imbalance - the Commonwealth collects ~80% of tax but states deliver most frontline services.
~45%
Watch
Canada / Germany ~20 / 15% β“˜ Share of sub-national revenue coming from federal transfers in comparable federations. Australia sits at the extreme end of fiscal centralisation among OECD federations.
Services & outcomes - work, energy, and what schools deliver
πŸ’Ό Labour force
β“˜ Share of working-age Australians who are either employed or actively looking for work (participation rate). ABS Labour Force; seasonally adjusted (2026-02).
~67%
Strength
⚑ Res electricity
β“˜ Typical residential electricity usage charge per kilowatt-hour. Varies by state and distributor; AEMC / AER.
~26-32c/kWh
Concern
πŸŽ“ PISA maths
β“˜ Standardised international mathematics score for 15-year-olds; higher is better. OECD PISA 2022; OECD average ~472. Latest available cycle.
487
Concern
AU 2003 score 524 β“˜ AU PISA maths has fallen ~37 points (roughly a year of schooling) since the 2003 cycle. OECD avg has drifted down ~22 points over the same period.

A wealthy, high-participation country whose economy still grows per head - but whose housing, education, and family-formation numbers have drifted the wrong way for a generation, while debt, the defence bill, and the NDIS all trend up.

21 policy areas Β· 105 reform sections Β· 105 detailed justifications.

See the Reform Roadmap for the full dependency graph.

All topics

Sources & how we read the numbers